Hey everyone, welcome back to my blog at PhoCrypto.com. As someone who’s been deep in the crypto trenches for years, tracking everything from Bitcoin’s wild rides to altcoin gems, I’m always excited to share insights that cut through the noise. Today, we’re talking about XRP – that resilient token that’s been making waves again. If you’ve been watching the charts, you know XRP just hit $2.10 amid growing buzz about a potential Fed interest rate cut in December. But with whispers of a bearish EMA crossover, some holders are getting jittery. Let’s unpack this with help from one of my go-to analysts, EGRAG Crypto, and see why this might be the calm before a serious storm – in a good way.
What’s Driving XRP’s Recent Surge?
XRP’s price climbed to $2.10 recently, fueled by positive market vibes around the Federal Reserve possibly slashing interest rates next month. This kind of news often pumps up crypto assets, as lower rates can mean more liquidity flowing into riskier investments like digital currencies. But even with this uptick, the community isn’t fully at ease. On the 3-day chart, the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is inching closer to the 200-day EMA, sparking fears of a “death cross” that could signal a downturn.
Don’t hit the panic button just yet, though. EGRAG Crypto, a sharp analyst I follow closely, argues that this anxiety is more about lingering market FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt) than solid technical red flags. In his recent post on X, he breaks it down clearly: a bearish EMA cross isn’t automatically doom and gloom. It only confirms a bear market if the price dips below both EMAs and momentum starts fading – which hasn’t happened here.
As of now, on November 25, 2025, XRP is holding steady around $2.22, up about 1.4% in the last day based on recent data. It’s still trading well above the 200 EMA, and that longer-term average is actually trending upward, not down. That’s a bullish sign in my book, showing underlying strength rather than weakness.
Why This Isn’t Signaling a Bear Market
EGRAG makes a compelling case: the real bearish signal comes when the price is already crumbling below those EMAs, not when they’re just flirting with a cross. Right now, XRP’s structure looks solid. The 200 EMA is rising, and the token has strong support levels intact. This crossover is happening during a period of consolidation with upward potential, not amid a freefall.
He points out that many are misreading the charts due to emotional baggage from past cycles. But technically, there’s no confirmation of a macro bear phase yet. Instead, this feels like “late-cycle pressure” – that messy, sideways grind that often precedes one final, explosive push higher.
Comparing to Past Cycles: Not 2018, More Like 2017 and 2021
One of the most eye-opening parts of EGRAG’s analysis is the historical parallels. Some traders are drawing scary comparisons to 2018, when XRP crashed hard after an EMA cross. But as he explains, that cross in 2018 came after the price had already tanked – it was confirmation of a bear market in progress, not a predictor.
Fast forward to now, and the setup mirrors 2017 and early 2021 much more closely. In those periods:
Related: XRP Price Prediction November 2025: Can Ripple Hold the Line at $2 or Is $1.58 Next?
- The EMAs tightened up just like they are today.
- XRP stayed above the 200 EMA.
- After a few weeks of sideways trading, boom – massive vertical breakouts followed.
If history rhymes, this current lull isn’t a weakness; it’s the wind-up before the pitch. XRP exploded in those earlier cycles, and with similar patterns emerging, we could be on the cusp of something big.
What’s Next for XRP? Potential Price Targets
Looking ahead, EGRAG sees this as consolidation before an upside leg, not the top of a cycle. XRP faces resistance around $2.20 – a level that’s capped it before but could break with enough buying pressure. If it does, $2.50 comes into play quickly, and in a strong rally, we might even eye $3.00.
Of course, markets are unpredictable, but the charts lean bullish here. The key is watching for that breakout above resistance, backed by volume and positive news like regulatory clarity or broader adoption for Ripple’s tech.
Final Thoughts
As an investor who’s seen my share of crypto ups and downs, I appreciate EGRAG’s level-headed take. XRP’s not in bear territory yet; it’s primed for potential growth. If you’re holding or considering dipping in, focus on the fundamentals – Ripple’s real-world utility in cross-border payments could be a game-changer long-term.
Thanks for reading, folks. Drop your thoughts in the comments – are you bullish on XRP’s next move? Stay tuned for more updates on PhoCrypto.com.
*Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risks, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified advisor before making any decisions. Prices and market conditions can change rapidly.
